Is CAT or MTW more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) and Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) (MTW) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CAT has a Quality of Company score of 9.4/10 while MTW scores 6.8/10.

Which is a better buy — CAT or MTW?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CAT and MTW valuations compare?

CAT at $875.87 and MTW at $11.83 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CAT vs MTW Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CAT

Construction Machinery & Equip

Caterpillar, Inc.

Quality

9.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$875.87

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

MTW

Construction Machinery & Equip

Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)

Quality

6.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$11.83

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CAT Fair Value	CAT Upside	MTW Fair Value	MTW Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$272.07	-68.9%	$0.76	-93.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$105.47	-88.0%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$110.12	-87.4%	$16.25	+37.3%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CAT vs MTW — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CAT scores higher with a 9.4/10 quality rating vs MTW's 6.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) and Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) (MTW) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CAT currently trades at $875.87 with a QOC of 9.4/10, while MTW trades at $11.83 with a QOC of 6.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).