Is CAT or CMCO more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) and Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CAT has a Quality of Company score of 9.4/10 while CMCO scores 5.5/10.

Which is a better buy — CAT or CMCO?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CAT and CMCO valuations compare?

CAT at $887.67 and CMCO at $16.11 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CAT vs CMCO Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CAT

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Caterpillar, Inc.

Quality

9.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$887.67

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

CMCO

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Columbus McKinnon Corporation

Quality

5.5

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$16.11

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CAT Fair Value	CAT Upside	CMCO Fair Value	CMCO Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$271.66	-69.4%	$15.90	-1.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$105.47	-88.1%	$1.51	-90.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CAT vs CMCO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CAT scores higher with a 9.4/10 quality rating vs CMCO's 5.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) and Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CAT currently trades at $887.67 with a QOC of 9.4/10, while CMCO trades at $16.11 with a QOC of 5.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).