Is CAST or MDIA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares FreeCast, Inc. (CAST) and Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CAST has a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 while MDIA scores 4.2/10.

Which is a better buy — CAST or MDIA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CAST and MDIA valuations compare?

CAST at $0.82 and MDIA at $0.90 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CAST vs MDIA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CAST

Broadcasting

FreeCast, Inc.

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$0.82

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

MDIA

Broadcasting

Mediaco Holding Inc.

Quality

4.2

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$0.90

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CAST Fair Value	CAST Upside	MDIA Fair Value	MDIA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.22	-73.5%	—	—
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.62	-24.8%	$0.14	-84.4%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$1.46	+95.4%	$2.48	+176.9%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$0.27	-70.1%

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CAST vs MDIA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MDIA scores higher with a 4.2/10 quality rating vs CAST's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing FreeCast, Inc. (CAST) and Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CAST currently trades at $0.82 with a QOC of 1.7/10, while MDIA trades at $0.90 with a QOC of 4.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).