Is BX or CG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Blackstone Inc. (BX) and The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. BX has a Quality of Company score of 8.9/10 while CG scores 7.5/10.

Which is a better buy — BX or CG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do BX and CG valuations compare?

BX at $116.97 and CG at $45.43 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

BX vs CG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

BX

Investment Advice

Blackstone Inc.

Quality

8.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$116.97

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

CG

Investment Advice

The Carlyle Group Inc.

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$45.43

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	BX Fair Value	BX Upside	CG Fair Value	CG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$74.17	-36.6%	$4.54	-91.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$5.35	-95.4%	$15.75	-65.3%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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BX vs CG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

BX scores higher with a 8.9/10 quality rating vs CG's 7.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Blackstone Inc. (BX) and The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

BX currently trades at $116.97 with a QOC of 8.9/10, while CG trades at $45.43 with a QOC of 7.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).