Is BTOG or CAN more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Bit Origin Limited (BTOG) and Canaan Inc. (CAN) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. BTOG has a Quality of Company score of 2.4/10 while CAN scores 3.2/10.

Which is a better buy — BTOG or CAN?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do BTOG and CAN valuations compare?

BTOG at $1.77 and CAN at $0.41 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

BTOG vs CAN Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

BTOG

Finance Services

Bit Origin Limited

Quality

2.4

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$1.77

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

CAN

Finance Services

Canaan Inc.

Quality

3.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$0.41

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	BTOG Fair Value	BTOG Upside	CAN Fair Value	CAN Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.46	-74.0%	$0.09	-79.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$0.03	-94.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$3.83	+120.4%	—	—

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BTOG vs CAN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CAN scores higher with a 3.2/10 quality rating vs BTOG's 2.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Bit Origin Limited (BTOG) and Canaan Inc. (CAN) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

BTOG currently trades at $1.77 with a QOC of 2.4/10, while CAN trades at $0.41 with a QOC of 3.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).