Is BIRD or FIGS more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Allbirds, Inc. (BIRD) and FIGS, Inc. (FIGS) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. BIRD has a Quality of Company score of 4.6/10 while FIGS scores 9.2/10.

Which is a better buy — BIRD or FIGS?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do BIRD and FIGS valuations compare?

BIRD at $4.12 and FIGS at $11.76 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

BIRD vs FIGS Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

BIRD

Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl

Allbirds, Inc.

Quality

4.6

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$4.12

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

FIGS

Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl

FIGS, Inc.

Quality

9.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$11.76

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	BIRD Fair Value	BIRD Upside	FIGS Fair Value	FIGS Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.07	-98.3%	$4.44	-62.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$20.01	+209.7%	$1.22	-89.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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BIRD vs FIGS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

FIGS scores higher with a 9.2/10 quality rating vs BIRD's 4.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Allbirds, Inc. (BIRD) and FIGS, Inc. (FIGS) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

BIRD currently trades at $4.12 with a QOC of 4.6/10, while FIGS trades at $11.76 with a QOC of 9.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).