BGM vs CPHI

BGM Group Ltd. vs China Pharma Holdings, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — CPHI scores higher on quality with 3.9/10 vs BGM's 2.2/10. BGM trades at $0.33 while CPHI trades at $0.86. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

BGM

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
BGM Group Ltd.
Quality
2.2
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$0.33
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

CPHI

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
China Pharma Holdings, Inc.
Quality
3.9
out of 10
Value Trap
47
WARN
Price
$0.86
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
BGM
2 models active
Quality 2.2/10 — below average
CPHI
2 models active
Value Trap 47/100 — caution

BGM vs CPHI — Fair Value Comparison

BGM
$0$0$0$0 Price$0.33 Bayesian …$0.06 (-80.4%) Earnings …$0.02 (-92.1%)
CPHI
$0$0$1$1 Price$0.86 Bayesian …$0.27 (-59.4%) ML-RIV$0.06 (-91.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType BGM Fair ValueBGM Upside CPHI Fair ValueCPHI Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.06 -80.4% $0.27 -59.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $0.02 -92.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $0.06 -91.7%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

BGM vs CPHI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

CPHI scores higher with a 3.9/10 quality rating vs BGM's 2.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do BGM and CPHI Valuations Compare?

At $0.33, BGM trades +80.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.06, while CPHI at $0.86 trades +59.4% above its estimate of $0.27. BGM shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: BGM vs CPHI

BGM earns a Quality of Company score of 2.2/10 compared to CPHI's 3.9/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: BGM vs CPHI

Review the value trap analysis for both BGM and CPHI to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Both BGM and CPHI operate in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic, which has 79 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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