BGC vs BTCS

BGC Group, Inc. vs BTCS Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — BGC scores higher on quality with 8.6/10 vs BTCS's 5.0/10. BGC trades at $10.34 while BTCS trades at $1.45. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

BGC

Capital Markets
BGC Group, Inc.
Quality
8.6
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$10.34
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

BTCS

Capital Markets
BTCS Inc.
Quality
5.0
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$1.45
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
BGC
Quality Score 8.6/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
BTCS
2 models active
Quality 5.0/10 — below average

BGC vs BTCS — Fair Value Comparison

BGC
$0$4$8$12 Price$10.34 Bayesian …$7.24 (-29.9%) Earnings …$2.35 (-77.2%)
BTCS
$0$1$1$2 Price$1.45 Bayesian …$0.26 (-82.4%) Markov DDM$1.15 (-20.6%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType BGC Fair ValueBGC Upside BTCS Fair ValueBTCS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $7.24 -29.9% $0.26 -82.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $2.35 -77.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $1.15 -20.6%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

BGC vs BTCS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

BGC scores higher with a 8.6/10 quality rating vs BTCS's 5.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do BGC and BTCS Valuations Compare?

At $10.34, BGC trades +29.9% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.24, while BTCS at $1.45 trades +82.4% above its estimate of $0.26. BTCS shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: BGC vs BTCS

BGC earns a Quality of Company score of 8.6/10 compared to BTCS's 5.0/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: BGC vs BTCS

BGC carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while BTCS shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Capital Markets

Both BGC and BTCS operate in Capital Markets, which has 86 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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