BG vs CALM

Bunge Limited vs Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — CALM scores higher on quality with 10.0/10 vs BG's 6.4/10. BG trades at $129.13 while CALM trades at $74.53. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

BG

Farm Products
Bunge Limited
Quality
6.4
out of 10
Value Trap
39
LOW
Price
$129.13
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

CALM

Farm Products
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.
Quality
10.0
out of 10
Value Trap
16
SAFE
Price
$74.53
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
BG
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
CALM
Bayesian DCF sees +97.5% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

BG vs CALM — Fair Value Comparison

BG
$0$51$102$152 Price$129.13 Bayesian …$21.60 (-82.1%) Markov DDM$104.82 (-18.8%)
CALM
$0$58$116$174 Price$74.53 Bayesian …$147.17 (+97.5%) Earnings …$74.12 (-0.5%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType BG Fair ValueBG Upside CALM Fair ValueCALM Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $21.60 -82.1% $147.17 +97.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $74.12 -0.5%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $104.82 -18.8%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

BG vs CALM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

CALM scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs BG's 6.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do BG and CALM Valuations Compare?

At $129.13, BG trades +82.1% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $21.60, while CALM at $74.53 trades +97.5% below its estimate of $147.17. CALM shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: BG vs CALM

BG earns a Quality of Company score of 6.4/10 compared to CALM's 10.0/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: BG vs CALM

BG carries a LOW value trap risk (39/100) while CALM shows SAFE risk (16/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Farm Products

Both BG and CALM operate in Farm Products, which has 22 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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