BCAL vs BCML

California BanCorp vs BayCom Corp — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — BCAL scores higher on quality with 10.0/10 vs BCML's 8.0/10. BCAL trades at $19.21 while BCML trades at $31.20. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

BCAL

Banks - Regional
California BanCorp
Quality
10.0
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$19.21
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

BCML

Banks - Regional
BayCom Corp
Quality
8.0
out of 10
Value Trap
20
SAFE
Price
$31.20
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
BCAL
Earnings Power Value sees +49.8% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
BCML
Earnings Power Value sees +61.2% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

BCAL vs BCML — Fair Value Comparison

BCAL
$0$11$23$34 Price$19.21 Bayesian …$20.05 (+4.4%) Earnings …$28.78 (+49.8%)
BCML
$0$20$40$59 Price$31.20 Bayesian …$29.66 (-4.9%) Earnings …$50.30 (+61.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType BCAL Fair ValueBCAL Upside BCML Fair ValueBCML Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $20.05 +4.4% $29.66 -4.9%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $28.78 +49.8% $50.30 +61.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

BCAL vs BCML — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

BCAL scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs BCML's 8.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do BCAL and BCML Valuations Compare?

At $19.21, BCAL trades +4.4% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $20.05, while BCML at $31.20 trades +4.9% above its estimate of $29.66. BCML shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: BCAL vs BCML

BCAL earns a Quality of Company score of 10.0/10 compared to BCML's 8.0/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: BCAL vs BCML

BCAL carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while BCML shows SAFE risk (20/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Banks - Regional

Both BCAL and BCML operate in Banks - Regional, which has 329 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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