Is BALY or BYD more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Bally's Corporation (BALY) and Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. BALY has a Quality of Company score of 4.0/10 while BYD scores 8.6/10.

Which is a better buy — BALY or BYD?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do BALY and BYD valuations compare?

BALY at $14.18 and BYD at $82.68 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

BALY vs BYD Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

BALY

Hotels & Motels

Bally's Corporation

Quality

4.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$14.18

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

BYD

Hotels & Motels

Boyd Gaming Corporation

Quality

8.6

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$82.68

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	BALY Fair Value	BALY Upside	BYD Fair Value	BYD Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.48	-96.3%	$58.65	-29.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$13.03	-84.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$22.71	+110.1%	$103.90	+25.7%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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BALY vs BYD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

BYD scores higher with a 8.6/10 quality rating vs BALY's 4.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Bally's Corporation (BALY) and Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

BALY currently trades at $14.18 with a QOC of 4.0/10, while BYD trades at $82.68 with a QOC of 8.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).