Is BAK or GPRE more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Braskem SA (BAK) and Green Plains, Inc. (GPRE) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. BAK has a Quality of Company score of 5.5/10 while GPRE scores 6.4/10.

Which is a better buy — BAK or GPRE?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do BAK and GPRE valuations compare?

BAK at $4.46 and GPRE at $15.81 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

BAK vs GPRE Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

BAK

Chemicals

Braskem SA

Quality

5.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$4.46

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

GPRE

Chemicals

Green Plains, Inc.

Quality

6.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$15.81

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	BAK Fair Value	BAK Upside	GPRE Fair Value	GPRE Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$19.06	+327.4%	$10.36	-34.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$8.69	-51.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$8.82	+97.7%	$13.85	-12.4%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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BAK vs GPRE — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

GPRE scores higher with a 6.4/10 quality rating vs BAK's 5.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Braskem SA (BAK) and Green Plains, Inc. (GPRE) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

BAK currently trades at $4.46 with a QOC of 5.5/10, while GPRE trades at $15.81 with a QOC of 6.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).