Is AX or BAFN more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) and BayFirst Financial Corp. (BAFN) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AX has a Quality of Company score of 9.0/10 while BAFN scores 6.3/10.

Which is a better buy — AX or BAFN?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AX and BAFN valuations compare?

AX at $87.27 and BAFN at $6.13 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AX vs BAFN Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AX

Banks - Regional

Axos Financial, Inc.

Quality

9.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$87.27

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

BAFN

Banks - Regional

BayFirst Financial Corp.

Quality

6.3

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$6.13

Last close

Models

4/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AX Fair Value	AX Upside	BAFN Fair Value	BAFN Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$45.33	-48.1%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$77.30	-11.4%	$35.39	+455.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$113.12	+29.6%	$1.40	-77.1%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AX vs BAFN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AX scores higher with a 9.0/10 quality rating vs BAFN's 6.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) and BayFirst Financial Corp. (BAFN) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AX currently trades at $87.27 with a QOC of 9.0/10, while BAFN trades at $6.13 with a QOC of 6.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).