Is AWI or CMT more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) and Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AWI has a Quality of Company score of 9.6/10 while CMT scores 8.3/10.

Which is a better buy — AWI or CMT?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AWI and CMT valuations compare?

AWI at $157.90 and CMT at $23.69 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AWI vs CMT Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AWI

Plastics Products, NEC

Armstrong World Industries Inc

Quality

9.6

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$157.90

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

CMT

Plastics Products, NEC

Core Molding Technologies Inc

Quality

8.3

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$23.69

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AWI Fair Value	AWI Upside	CMT Fair Value	CMT Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$60.18	-61.9%	$6.51	-72.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$71.43	-54.8%	$3.15	-86.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for AWI vs CMT — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

AWI vs CMT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AWI scores higher with a 9.6/10 quality rating vs CMT's 8.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) and Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AWI currently trades at $157.90 with a QOC of 9.6/10, while CMT trades at $23.69 with a QOC of 8.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).