Is AVAV or AVEX more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) and AEVEX Corp. (AVEX) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AVAV has a Quality of Company score of 8.0/10 while AVEX scores 1.7/10.

Which is a better buy — AVAV or AVEX?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AVAV and AVEX valuations compare?

AVAV at $214.39 and AVEX at $40.48 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AVAV vs AVEX Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AVAV

Aerospace & Defense

AeroVironment, Inc.

Quality

8.0

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$214.39

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

AVEX

Aerospace & Defense

AEVEX Corp.

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$40.48

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AVAV Fair Value	AVAV Upside	AVEX Fair Value	AVEX Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$48.46	-77.4%	$11.95	-70.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$21.18	-88.5%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$47.27	-73.9%	$6.62	-75.2%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AVAV vs AVEX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AVAV scores higher with a 8.0/10 quality rating vs AVEX's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) and AEVEX Corp. (AVEX) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AVAV currently trades at $214.39 with a QOC of 8.0/10, while AVEX trades at $40.48 with a QOC of 1.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).