AURA vs CELZ

Aura Biosciences, Inc. vs Creative Medical Technology Hol — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — AURA scores higher on quality with 5.2/10 vs CELZ's 5.1/10. AURA trades at $6.90 while CELZ trades at $2.23. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AURA

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Aura Biosciences, Inc.
Quality
5.2
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$6.90
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

CELZ

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Creative Medical Technology Hol
Quality
5.1
out of 10
Value Trap
53
WARN
Price
$2.23
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
AURA
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
CELZ
2 models active
Value Trap 53/100 — caution

AURA vs CELZ — Fair Value Comparison

AURA
$0$3$5$8 Price$6.90 Bayesian …$2.40 (-65.3%) ML-RIV$0.59 (-91.4%)
CELZ
$0$1$2$3 Price$2.23 Bayesian …$1.45 (-34.9%) Earnings …$1.63 (-27.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AURA Fair ValueAURA Upside CELZ Fair ValueCELZ Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $2.40 -65.3% $1.45 -34.9%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.63 -27.3%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $0.59 -91.4% $0.10 -95.8%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AURA vs CELZ — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

AURA scores higher with a 5.2/10 quality rating vs CELZ's 5.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AURA and CELZ Valuations Compare?

At $6.90, AURA trades +65.3% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.40, while CELZ at $2.23 trades +34.9% above its estimate of $1.45. AURA shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AURA vs CELZ

AURA earns a Quality of Company score of 5.2/10 compared to CELZ's 5.1/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AURA vs CELZ

AURA carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while CELZ shows WARN risk (53/100). Stocks with value trap scores above 40 may appear undervalued but face deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue can make the apparent discount a trap.

Both in Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Both AURA and CELZ operate in Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances), which has 6 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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