ATYR vs AVTX

aTyr Pharma, Inc. vs Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — ATYR scores higher on quality with 4.9/10 vs AVTX's 4.7/10. ATYR trades at $0.52 while AVTX trades at $13.96. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ATYR

Biotechnology
aTyr Pharma, Inc.
Quality
4.9
out of 10
Value Trap
52
WARN
Price
$0.52
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

AVTX

Biotechnology
Avalo Therapeutics, Inc.
Quality
4.7
out of 10
Value Trap
49
WARN
Price
$13.96
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
ATYR
ML-RIV sees +38.3% upside
Value Trap 52/100 — caution
AVTX
2 models active
Value Trap 49/100 — caution

ATYR vs AVTX — Fair Value Comparison

ATYR
$0$0$1$1 Price$0.52 Bayesian …$0.14 (-72.2%) ML-RIV$0.72 (+38.3%)
AVTX
$0$5$11$16 Price$13.96 Bayesian …$3.93 (-71.8%) ML-RIV$0.69 (-95.0%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ATYR Fair ValueATYR Upside AVTX Fair ValueAVTX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.14 -72.2% $3.93 -71.8%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $0.72 +38.3% $0.69 -95.0%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ATYR vs AVTX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

ATYR scores higher with a 4.9/10 quality rating vs AVTX's 4.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ATYR and AVTX Valuations Compare?

At $0.52, ATYR trades +72.2% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.14, while AVTX at $13.96 trades +71.8% above its estimate of $3.93. ATYR shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: ATYR vs AVTX

ATYR earns a Quality of Company score of 4.9/10 compared to AVTX's 4.7/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ATYR vs AVTX

ATYR carries a WARN value trap risk (52/100) while AVTX shows WARN risk (49/100). Stocks with value trap scores above 40 may appear undervalued but face deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue can make the apparent discount a trap.

Both in Biotechnology

Both ATYR and AVTX operate in Biotechnology, which has 566 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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