Is ATHE or ATYR more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) and aTyr Pharma, Inc. (ATYR) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ATHE has a Quality of Company score of 1.8/10 while ATYR scores 4.9/10.

Which is a better buy — ATHE or ATYR?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ATHE and ATYR valuations compare?

ATHE at $4.08 and ATYR at $0.49 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ATHE vs ATYR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ATHE

Biotechnology

Alterity Therapeutics Limited

Quality

1.8

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$4.08

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

ATYR

Biotechnology

aTyr Pharma, Inc.

Quality

4.9

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$0.49

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ATHE Fair Value	ATHE Upside	ATYR Fair Value	ATYR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.08	-73.5%	$0.14	-71.6%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.18	-95.5%	$0.72	+47.8%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$1.07	-73.5%	$1.29	+164.7%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for ATHE vs ATYR — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

ATHE vs ATYR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ATYR scores higher with a 4.9/10 quality rating vs ATHE's 1.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) and aTyr Pharma, Inc. (ATYR) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ATHE currently trades at $4.08 with a QOC of 1.8/10, while ATYR trades at $0.49 with a QOC of 4.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).