Is ATAT or BALY more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite (ATAT) and Bally's Corporation (BALY) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ATAT has a Quality of Company score of 10.0/10 while BALY scores 4.0/10.

Which is a better buy — ATAT or BALY?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ATAT and BALY valuations compare?

ATAT at $34.34 and BALY at $14.18 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ATAT vs BALY Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ATAT

Hotels & Motels

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite

Quality

10.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$34.34

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

BALY

Hotels & Motels

Bally's Corporation

Quality

4.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$14.18

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ATAT Fair Value	ATAT Upside	BALY Fair Value	BALY Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$25.38	-26.1%	$0.48	-96.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$19.68	-42.7%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$45.97	+33.9%	$22.71	+110.1%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ATAT vs BALY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ATAT scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs BALY's 4.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite (ATAT) and Bally's Corporation (BALY) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ATAT currently trades at $34.34 with a QOC of 10.0/10, while BALY trades at $14.18 with a QOC of 4.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).