Is ASTS or CCOI more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) and Cogent Communications Holdings, (CCOI) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ASTS has a Quality of Company score of 5.9/10 while CCOI scores 5.8/10.

Which is a better buy — ASTS or CCOI?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ASTS and CCOI valuations compare?

ASTS at $113.41 and CCOI at $17.76 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ASTS vs CCOI Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ASTS

Communications Services, NEC

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

Quality

5.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$113.41

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

CCOI

Communications Services, NEC

Cogent Communications Holdings,

Quality

5.8

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$17.76

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ASTS Fair Value	ASTS Upside	CCOI Fair Value	CCOI Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$33.13	-70.8%	$4.28	-81.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$26.71	-65.0%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$1.64	-97.7%	$25.98	+46.3%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ASTS vs CCOI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ASTS scores higher with a 5.9/10 quality rating vs CCOI's 5.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) and Cogent Communications Holdings, (CCOI) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ASTS currently trades at $113.41 with a QOC of 5.9/10, while CCOI trades at $17.76 with a QOC of 5.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).