Is ASPN or CSTE more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) and Caesarstone Ltd. (CSTE) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ASPN has a Quality of Company score of 5.8/10 while CSTE scores 2.5/10.

Which is a better buy — ASPN or CSTE?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ASPN and CSTE valuations compare?

ASPN at $6.37 and CSTE at $1.82 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ASPN vs CSTE Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ASPN

Building Products & Equipment

Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

Quality

5.8

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$6.37

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

CSTE

Building Products & Equipment

Caesarstone Ltd.

Quality

2.5

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$1.82

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ASPN Fair Value	ASPN Upside	CSTE Fair Value	CSTE Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$8.17	+28.3%	$0.36	-80.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$33.54	+426.6%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	—	—	$3.22	+76.7%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ASPN vs CSTE — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ASPN scores higher with a 5.8/10 quality rating vs CSTE's 2.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) and Caesarstone Ltd. (CSTE) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ASPN currently trades at $6.37 with a QOC of 5.8/10, while CSTE trades at $1.82 with a QOC of 2.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).