ASIX vs GPRE

AdvanSix Inc. vs Green Plains, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — ASIX scores higher on quality with 7.4/10 vs GPRE's 6.4/10. ASIX trades at $22.65 while GPRE trades at $16.14. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ASIX

Chemicals
AdvanSix Inc.
Quality
7.4
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$22.65
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

GPRE

Chemicals
Green Plains, Inc.
Quality
6.4
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$16.14
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
ASIX
Bayesian DCF sees +12.0% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
GPRE
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

ASIX vs GPRE — Fair Value Comparison

ASIX
$0$10$20$30 Price$22.65 Bayesian …$25.37 (+12.0%) Earnings …$1.56 (-92.3%)
GPRE
$0$6$13$19 Price$16.14 Bayesian …$10.00 (-38.1%) Earnings …$8.69 (-51.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ASIX Fair ValueASIX Upside GPRE Fair ValueGPRE Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $25.37 +12.0% $10.00 -38.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.56 -92.3% $8.69 -51.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ASIX vs GPRE — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

ASIX scores higher with a 7.4/10 quality rating vs GPRE's 6.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ASIX and GPRE Valuations Compare?

At $22.65, ASIX trades +12.0% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $25.37, while GPRE at $16.14 trades +38.1% above its estimate of $10.00. GPRE shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: ASIX vs GPRE

ASIX earns a Quality of Company score of 7.4/10 compared to GPRE's 6.4/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ASIX vs GPRE

ASIX carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while GPRE shows SAFE risk (6/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Chemicals

Both ASIX and GPRE operate in Chemicals, which has 18 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare ASIX vs GPRE differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo  ·  FactSet: ~$1,000/mo  ·  CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.