Is ARIS or ATCX more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) and Atlas Critical Minerals Corpora (ATCX) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ARIS has a Quality of Company score of 2.0/10 while ATCX scores 2.1/10.

Which is a better buy — ARIS or ATCX?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ARIS and ATCX valuations compare?

ARIS at $18.13 and ATCX at $4.30 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ARIS vs ATCX Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ARIS

Gold and Silver Ores

Aris Mining Corporation

Quality

2.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$18.13

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

ATCX

Gold and Silver Ores

Atlas Critical Minerals Corpora

Quality

2.1

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$4.30

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ARIS Fair Value	ARIS Upside	ATCX Fair Value	ATCX Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$5.21	-71.3%	$1.17	-73.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$9.18	-51.5%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$17.14	-5.4%	$5.48	-3.8%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ARIS vs ATCX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ATCX scores higher with a 2.1/10 quality rating vs ARIS's 2.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) and Atlas Critical Minerals Corpora (ATCX) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ARIS currently trades at $18.13 with a QOC of 2.0/10, while ATCX trades at $4.30 with a QOC of 2.1/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).