Is ARES or BX more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Ares Management Corporation (ARES) and Blackstone Inc. (BX) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ARES has a Quality of Company score of 8.7/10 while BX scores 8.9/10.

Which is a better buy — ARES or BX?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ARES and BX valuations compare?

ARES at $128.50 and BX at $116.97 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ARES vs BX Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ARES

Investment Advice

Ares Management Corporation

Quality

8.7

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$128.50

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

BX

Investment Advice

Blackstone Inc.

Quality

8.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$116.97

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ARES Fair Value	ARES Upside	BX Fair Value	BX Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$308.78	+140.3%	$74.17	-36.6%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$38.23	-70.2%	$5.35	-95.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ARES vs BX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

BX scores higher with a 8.9/10 quality rating vs ARES's 8.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Ares Management Corporation (ARES) and Blackstone Inc. (BX) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ARES currently trades at $128.50 with a QOC of 8.7/10, while BX trades at $116.97 with a QOC of 8.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).