AREB vs FOSL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — FOSL scores higher on quality with 5.5/10 vs AREB's 4.3/10. AREB trades at $0.14 while FOSL trades at $4.15. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AREB

Footwear & Accessories

American Rebel Holdings, Inc.

Quality

4.3

out of 10

Value Trap

27

LOW

Price

$0.14

Last close

Models

5/13

Active

VS

FOSL

Footwear & Accessories

Fossil Group, Inc.

Quality

5.5

out of 10

Value Trap

34

LOW

Price

$4.15

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

AREB

2 models active

Quality 4.3/10 — below average

FOSL

Bayesian DCF sees +68.0% upside

Limited to 2/13 visible models

AREB vs FOSL — Fair Value Comparison

AREB

FOSL

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AREB Fair Value	AREB Upside	FOSL Fair Value	FOSL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$7.44	+68.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$0.84	-79.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.05	-83.1%	$0.56	-86.5%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$0.13	-7.7%	$5.58	+34.5%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

AREB vs FOSL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

FOSL scores higher with a 5.5/10 quality rating vs AREB's 4.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AREB and FOSL Valuations Compare?

AREB currently trades at $0.14 while FOSL trades at $4.15. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: AREB vs FOSL

AREB earns a Quality of Company score of 4.3/10 compared to FOSL's 5.5/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AREB vs FOSL

AREB carries a LOW value trap risk (27/100) while FOSL shows LOW risk (34/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Footwear & Accessories

Both AREB and FOSL operate in Footwear & Accessories, which has 14 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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AREB

View Full American Rebel Holdings, Inc. Analysis →

FOSL

View Full Fossil Group, Inc. Analysis →