Is ARE or AVB more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE) and AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ARE has a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 while AVB scores 7.3/10.

Which is a better buy — ARE or AVB?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ARE and AVB valuations compare?

ARE at $49.68 and AVB at $182.51 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ARE vs AVB Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ARE

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Alexandria Real Estate Equities

Quality

6.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$49.68

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

AVB

Real Estate Investment Trusts

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

Quality

7.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$182.51

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ARE Fair Value	ARE Upside	AVB Fair Value	AVB Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$135.19	+172.1%	$61.64	-66.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$129.50	-29.0%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$58.37	+17.5%	$254.50	+39.4%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ARE vs AVB — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AVB scores higher with a 7.3/10 quality rating vs ARE's 6.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE) and AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ARE currently trades at $49.68 with a QOC of 6.9/10, while AVB trades at $182.51 with a QOC of 7.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).