AN vs GPI

AutoNation, Inc. vs Group 1 Automotive, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — GPI scores higher on quality with 8.5/10 vs AN's 7.7/10. AN trades at $191.09 while GPI trades at $308.32. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AN

Auto & Truck Dealerships
AutoNation, Inc.
Quality
7.7
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$191.09
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

GPI

Auto & Truck Dealerships
Group 1 Automotive, Inc.
Quality
8.5
out of 10
Value Trap
14
SAFE
Price
$308.32
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
AN
Bayesian DCF sees +112.9% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
GPI
Bayesian DCF sees +191.6% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

AN vs GPI — Fair Value Comparison

AN
$0$160$320$480 Price$191.09 Bayesian …$406.75 (+112.9%) Earnings …$74.16 (-61.2%)
GPI
$0$354$707$1K Price$308.32 Bayesian …$898.97 (+191.6%) Earnings …$213.28 (-30.8%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AN Fair ValueAN Upside GPI Fair ValueGPI Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $406.75 +112.9% $898.97 +191.6%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $74.16 -61.2% $213.28 -30.8%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AN vs GPI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

GPI scores higher with a 8.5/10 quality rating vs AN's 7.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AN and GPI Valuations Compare?

At $191.09, AN trades +112.9% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $406.75, while GPI at $308.32 trades +191.6% below its estimate of $898.97. GPI shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AN vs GPI

AN earns a Quality of Company score of 7.7/10 compared to GPI's 8.5/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AN vs GPI

AN carries a SAFE value trap risk (6/100) while GPI shows SAFE risk (14/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Auto & Truck Dealerships

Both AN and GPI operate in Auto & Truck Dealerships, which has 23 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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