AMTD vs AOD

AMTD IDEA Group vs Aberdeen Total Dynamic Dividend — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-01 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — AMTD scores higher on quality with 2.1/10 vs AOD's 1.7/10. AMTD trades at $1.02 while AOD trades at $10.48. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AMTD

Asset Management
AMTD IDEA Group
Quality
2.1
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$1.02
Last close
Models
6/13
Active
VS

AOD

Asset Management
Aberdeen Total Dynamic Dividend
Quality
1.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$10.48
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
AMTD
Earnings Power Value sees +379.3% upside
Quality 2.1/10 — below average
AOD
Markov DDM sees +0.1% upside
Quality 1.7/10 — below average

AMTD vs AOD — Fair Value Comparison

AMTD
$0$2$4$6 Price$1.02 Bayesian …$0.28 (-72.6%) Earnings …$4.98 (+379.3%)
AOD
$0$4$8$12 Price$10.48 Bayesian …$2.77 (-73.5%) Markov DDM$10.49 (+0.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AMTD Fair ValueAMTD Upside AOD Fair ValueAOD Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.28 -72.6% $2.77 -73.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $4.98 +379.3%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $10.49 +0.1%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AMTD vs AOD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

AMTD scores higher with a 2.1/10 quality rating vs AOD's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AMTD and AOD Valuations Compare?

At $1.02, AMTD trades +72.6% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.28, while AOD at $10.48 trades +73.5% above its estimate of $2.77. AOD shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AMTD vs AOD

AMTD earns a Quality of Company score of 2.1/10 compared to AOD's 1.7/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AMTD vs AOD

Review the value trap analysis for both AMTD and AOD to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Asset Management

Both AMTD and AOD operate in Asset Management, which has 21 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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