Is AMR or HCC more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Alpha Metallurgical Resources, (AMR) and Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AMR has a Quality of Company score of 6.2/10 while HCC scores 7.7/10.

Which is a better buy — AMR or HCC?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AMR and HCC valuations compare?

AMR at $213.72 and HCC at $104.58 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AMR vs HCC Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AMR

Coking Coal

Alpha Metallurgical Resources,

Quality

6.2

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$213.72

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

HCC

Coking Coal

Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Quality

7.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$104.58

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AMR Fair Value	AMR Upside	HCC Fair Value	HCC Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$599.85	+180.7%	$115.08	+10.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$100.96	-52.8%	$7.90	-92.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for AMR vs HCC — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

AMR vs HCC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HCC scores higher with a 7.7/10 quality rating vs AMR's 6.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Alpha Metallurgical Resources, (AMR) and Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AMR currently trades at $213.72 with a QOC of 6.2/10, while HCC trades at $104.58 with a QOC of 7.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).