AMPY vs AR

Amplify Energy Corp. vs Antero Resources Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-01 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — AR scores higher on quality with 8.3/10 vs AMPY's 3.9/10. AMPY trades at $4.77 while AR trades at $36.77. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AMPY

Oil & Gas E&P
Amplify Energy Corp.
Quality
3.9
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$4.77
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

AR

Oil & Gas E&P
Antero Resources Corporation
Quality
8.3
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$36.77
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
AMPY
Bayesian DCF sees +337.6% upside
Quality 3.9/10 — below average
AR
Bayesian DCF sees +96.8% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

AMPY vs AR — Fair Value Comparison

AMPY
$0$8$16$25 Price$4.77 Bayesian …$20.88 (+337.6%) Earnings …$1.30 (-75.4%)
AR
$0$28$57$85 Price$36.77 Bayesian …$72.35 (+96.8%) Earnings …$8.33 (-77.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AMPY Fair ValueAMPY Upside AR Fair ValueAR Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $20.88 +337.6% $72.35 +96.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.30 -75.4% $8.33 -77.3%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AMPY vs AR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

AR scores higher with a 8.3/10 quality rating vs AMPY's 3.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AMPY and AR Valuations Compare?

At $4.77, AMPY trades +337.6% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $20.88, while AR at $36.77 trades +96.8% below its estimate of $72.35. AMPY shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AMPY vs AR

AMPY earns a Quality of Company score of 3.9/10 compared to AR's 8.3/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AMPY vs AR

AMPY carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while AR shows SAFE risk (24/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Oil & Gas E&P

Both AMPY and AR operate in Oil & Gas E&P, which has 4 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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