Is AMG or ARCC more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (AMG) and Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AMG has a Quality of Company score of 8.3/10 while ARCC scores 5.2/10.

Which is a better buy — AMG or ARCC?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AMG and ARCC valuations compare?

AMG at $302.96 and ARCC at $18.81 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AMG vs ARCC Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AMG

Asset Management

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.

Quality

8.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$302.96

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

ARCC

Asset Management

Ares Capital Corporation

Quality

5.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$18.81

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AMG Fair Value	AMG Upside	ARCC Fair Value	ARCC Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$390.58	+28.9%	$0.98	-94.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$200.08	-31.3%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$256.53	-15.3%	$41.76	+122.0%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AMG vs ARCC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AMG scores higher with a 8.3/10 quality rating vs ARCC's 5.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (AMG) and Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AMG currently trades at $302.96 with a QOC of 8.3/10, while ARCC trades at $18.81 with a QOC of 5.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).