Is ALK or FLYX more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) and flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ALK has a Quality of Company score of 7.1/10 while FLYX scores 5.3/10.

Which is a better buy — ALK or FLYX?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ALK and FLYX valuations compare?

ALK at $46.59 and FLYX at $2.62 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ALK vs FLYX Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ALK

Airlines

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Quality

7.1

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$46.59

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

FLYX

Airlines

flyExclusive, Inc.

Quality

5.3

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$2.62

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ALK Fair Value	ALK Upside	FLYX Fair Value	FLYX Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$120.72	+159.1%	$0.14	-93.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$16.79	-64.0%	—	—
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$51.21	+9.9%	$6.30	+140.6%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for ALK vs FLYX — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

ALK vs FLYX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ALK scores higher with a 7.1/10 quality rating vs FLYX's 5.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) and flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ALK currently trades at $46.59 with a QOC of 7.1/10, while FLYX trades at $2.62 with a QOC of 5.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).