Is ALGT or ALK more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) and Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ALGT has a Quality of Company score of 7.5/10 while ALK scores 7.1/10.

Which is a better buy — ALGT or ALK?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ALGT and ALK valuations compare?

ALGT at $91.61 and ALK at $46.02 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ALGT vs ALK Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ALGT

Airlines

Allegiant Travel Company

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$91.61

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

ALK

Airlines

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Quality

7.1

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$46.02

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ALGT Fair Value	ALGT Upside	ALK Fair Value	ALK Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.57	-98.0%	$121.12	+163.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$10.03	-86.8%	$16.83	-63.4%
First Chicago	Scenario	$107.50	+17.3%	$83.58	+81.6%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ALGT vs ALK — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ALGT scores higher with a 7.5/10 quality rating vs ALK's 7.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) and Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ALGT currently trades at $91.61 with a QOC of 7.5/10, while ALK trades at $46.02 with a QOC of 7.1/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).