ALG vs CNH

Alamo Group, Inc. vs CNH Industrial N.V. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — ALG scores higher on quality with 9.3/10 vs CNH's 2.3/10. ALG trades at $152.76 while CNH trades at $10.95. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ALG

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Alamo Group, Inc.
Quality
9.3
out of 10
Value Trap
5
SAFE
Price
$152.76
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

CNH

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
CNH Industrial N.V.
Quality
2.3
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$10.95
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
ALG
Quality Score 9.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
CNH
2 models active
Quality 2.3/10 — below average

ALG vs CNH — Fair Value Comparison

ALG
$0$60$120$180 Price$152.76 Bayesian …$71.05 (-53.5%) Earnings …$51.84 (-66.1%)
CNH
$0$4$9$13 Price$10.95 Bayesian …$2.66 (-75.7%) EROIC Spr…$4.07 (-62.4%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ALG Fair ValueALG Upside CNH Fair ValueCNH Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $71.05 -53.5% $2.66 -75.7%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $51.84 -66.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $80.82 -47.1% $4.07 -62.4%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ALG vs CNH — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

ALG scores higher with a 9.3/10 quality rating vs CNH's 2.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ALG and CNH Valuations Compare?

At $152.76, ALG trades +53.5% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $71.05, while CNH at $10.95 trades +75.7% above its estimate of $2.66. CNH shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: ALG vs CNH

ALG earns a Quality of Company score of 9.3/10 compared to CNH's 2.3/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ALG vs CNH

Review the value trap analysis for both ALG and CNH to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Both ALG and CNH operate in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery, which has 24 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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