Is ALEC or ALLR more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Alector, Inc. (ALEC) and Allarity Therapeutics, Inc. (ALLR) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ALEC has a Quality of Company score of 5.7/10 while ALLR scores 4.1/10.

Which is a better buy — ALEC or ALLR?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ALEC and ALLR valuations compare?

ALEC at $2.15 and ALLR at $1.67 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ALEC vs ALLR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ALEC

Biotechnology

Alector, Inc.

Quality

5.7

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$2.15

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

ALLR

Biotechnology

Allarity Therapeutics, Inc.

Quality

4.1

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$1.67

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ALEC Fair Value	ALEC Upside	ALLR Fair Value	ALLR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.66	-69.4%	$0.57	-66.2%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.93	-56.6%	$0.87	-48.0%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ALEC vs ALLR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ALEC scores higher with a 5.7/10 quality rating vs ALLR's 4.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Alector, Inc. (ALEC) and Allarity Therapeutics, Inc. (ALLR) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ALEC currently trades at $2.15 with a QOC of 5.7/10, while ALLR trades at $1.67 with a QOC of 4.1/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).