Is AGO or FAF more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) and First American Corporation (New (FAF) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AGO has a Quality of Company score of 8.7/10 while FAF scores 8.2/10.

Which is a better buy — AGO or FAF?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AGO and FAF valuations compare?

AGO at $74.18 and FAF at $66.55 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AGO vs FAF Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AGO

Insurance - Specialty

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Quality

8.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$74.18

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

FAF

Insurance - Specialty

First American Corporation (New

Quality

8.2

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$66.55

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AGO Fair Value	AGO Upside	FAF Fair Value	FAF Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$181.33	+144.5%	$87.98	+32.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$1.26	-98.3%	$50.00	-24.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AGO vs FAF — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AGO scores higher with a 8.7/10 quality rating vs FAF's 8.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) and First American Corporation (New (FAF) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AGO currently trades at $74.18 with a QOC of 8.7/10, while FAF trades at $66.55 with a QOC of 8.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).