Is AGI or AU more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) and AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AGI has a Quality of Company score of 2.3/10 while AU scores 9.2/10.

Which is a better buy — AGI or AU?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AGI and AU valuations compare?

AGI at $39.52 and AU at $96.31 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AGI vs AU Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AGI

Gold

Alamos Gold Inc.

Quality

2.3

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$39.52

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

AU

Gold

AngloGold Ashanti PLC

Quality

9.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$96.31

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AGI Fair Value	AGI Upside	AU Fair Value	AU Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$9.75	-75.3%	$38.98	-59.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$19.07	-54.6%	$67.25	-30.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AGI vs AU — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AU scores higher with a 9.2/10 quality rating vs AGI's 2.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) and AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AGI currently trades at $39.52 with a QOC of 2.3/10, while AU trades at $96.31 with a QOC of 9.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).