Is AGCO or CAT more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AGCO has a Quality of Company score of 8.8/10 while CAT scores 9.4/10.

Which is a better buy — AGCO or CAT?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AGCO and CAT valuations compare?

AGCO at $113.87 and CAT at $887.67 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AGCO vs CAT Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AGCO

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

AGCO Corporation

Quality

8.8

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$113.87

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

CAT

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Caterpillar, Inc.

Quality

9.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$887.67

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AGCO Fair Value	AGCO Upside	CAT Fair Value	CAT Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$77.74	-31.7%	$271.66	-69.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$63.75	-44.0%	$105.47	-88.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for AGCO vs CAT — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

AGCO vs CAT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CAT scores higher with a 9.4/10 quality rating vs AGCO's 8.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AGCO currently trades at $113.87 with a QOC of 8.8/10, while CAT trades at $887.67 with a QOC of 9.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).