AFL vs CNO

AFLAC Incorporated vs CNO Financial Group, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — AFL scores higher on quality with 8.5/10 vs CNO's 7.1/10. AFL trades at $113.63 while CNO trades at $46.85. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AFL

Insurance - Life
AFLAC Incorporated
Quality
8.5
out of 10
Value Trap
17
SAFE
Price
$113.63
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

CNO

Insurance - Life
CNO Financial Group, Inc.
Quality
7.1
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$46.85
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
AFL
Quality Score 8.5/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
CNO
Earnings Power Value sees +36.3% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

AFL vs CNO — Fair Value Comparison

AFL
$0$45$89$134 Price$113.63 Bayesian …$74.84 (-34.1%) Earnings …$75.58 (-33.5%)
CNO
$0$25$50$75 Price$46.85 Bayesian …$61.38 (+31.0%) Earnings …$63.86 (+36.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AFL Fair ValueAFL Upside CNO Fair ValueCNO Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $74.84 -34.1% $61.38 +31.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $75.58 -33.5% $63.86 +36.3%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AFL vs CNO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

AFL scores higher with a 8.5/10 quality rating vs CNO's 7.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AFL and CNO Valuations Compare?

At $113.63, AFL trades +34.1% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $74.84, while CNO at $46.85 trades +31.0% below its estimate of $61.38. AFL shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AFL vs CNO

AFL earns a Quality of Company score of 8.5/10 compared to CNO's 7.1/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AFL vs CNO

AFL carries a SAFE value trap risk (17/100) while CNO shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Insurance - Life

Both AFL and CNO operate in Insurance - Life, which has 19 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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