Is ADAG or ADIL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Adagene Inc. (ADAG) and Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc (ADIL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ADAG has a Quality of Company score of 7.2/10 while ADIL scores 4.4/10.

Which is a better buy — ADAG or ADIL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ADAG and ADIL valuations compare?

ADAG at $3.94 and ADIL at $2.53 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ADAG vs ADIL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ADAG

Biotechnology

Adagene Inc.

Quality

7.2

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$3.94

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

ADIL

Biotechnology

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc

Quality

4.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$2.53

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ADAG Fair Value	ADAG Upside	ADIL Fair Value	ADIL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.38	-65.0%	$1.85	-27.0%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.34	-91.2%	$0.33	-78.5%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ADAG vs ADIL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ADAG scores higher with a 7.2/10 quality rating vs ADIL's 4.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Adagene Inc. (ADAG) and Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc (ADIL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ADAG currently trades at $3.94 with a QOC of 7.2/10, while ADIL trades at $2.53 with a QOC of 4.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).