ABTS vs BGC

Abits Group Inc vs BGC Group, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — BGC scores higher on quality with 8.6/10 vs ABTS's 1.9/10. ABTS trades at $2.58 while BGC trades at $10.34. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ABTS

Capital Markets
Abits Group Inc
Quality
1.9
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$2.58
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

BGC

Capital Markets
BGC Group, Inc.
Quality
8.6
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$10.34
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
ABTS
First Chicago sees +77.9% upside
Quality 1.9/10 — below average
BGC
Quality Score 8.6/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

ABTS vs BGC — Fair Value Comparison

ABTS
$0$1$2$3 Price$2.58 Bayesian …$0.50 (-80.5%) First Chi…$1.52 (+77.9%)
BGC
$0$4$8$12 Price$10.34 Bayesian …$7.24 (-29.9%) Earnings …$2.35 (-77.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ABTS Fair ValueABTS Upside BGC Fair ValueBGC Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.50 -80.5% $7.24 -29.9%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $2.35 -77.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $1.52 +77.9% $9.48 -8.3%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ABTS vs BGC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

BGC scores higher with a 8.6/10 quality rating vs ABTS's 1.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ABTS and BGC Valuations Compare?

At $2.58, ABTS trades +80.5% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.50, while BGC at $10.34 trades +29.9% above its estimate of $7.24. ABTS shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: ABTS vs BGC

ABTS earns a Quality of Company score of 1.9/10 compared to BGC's 8.6/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ABTS vs BGC

ABTS carries a SAFE value trap risk (6/100) while BGC shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Capital Markets

Both ABTS and BGC operate in Capital Markets, which has 86 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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