Is AAL or DAL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) and Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AAL has a Quality of Company score of 6.5/10 while DAL scores 8.2/10.

Which is a better buy — AAL or DAL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AAL and DAL valuations compare?

AAL at $14.65 and DAL at $82.49 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AAL vs DAL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AAL

Airlines

American Airlines Group, Inc.

Quality

6.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$14.65

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

DAL

Airlines

Delta Air Lines, Inc.

Quality

8.2

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$82.49

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AAL Fair Value	AAL Upside	DAL Fair Value	DAL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$45.98	-44.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$9.12	-88.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$14.25	+4.8%	$129.41	+56.9%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$15.80	+7.8%	$45.90	-44.4%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for AAL vs DAL — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

AAL vs DAL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

DAL scores higher with a 8.2/10 quality rating vs AAL's 6.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) and Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AAL currently trades at $14.65 with a QOC of 6.5/10, while DAL trades at $82.49 with a QOC of 8.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).