Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) Fair Value 2026

WGO · Recreational Vehicles ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (21/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) trades at $30.37, versus a $38.98 median fair value across its 12 active models — 28.3% above the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 21/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $31.94.

Key Facts

Ticker
WGO
Price
$30.37
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
21/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +68.7% upside with 75% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $38.98, 28.3% above the current price of $30.37. Estimates range from $19.43 to $58.70. WGO scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 21/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. WGO’s +28.3% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Winnebago Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WGO?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($30.37)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $31.94 +5.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $51.22 +68.7%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $37.96 +25.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $49.94 +64.4%
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What Is WGO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $19.43 to $58.70

CirclFi's 12 active models place Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) between $19.43 and $58.70 per share, a spread of 101% of the median. The median of that range — $38.98 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WGO, against a current price of $30.37.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · PWERM
$19.43median $38.98$58.70
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$19.43
Most bullish modelPWERM$58.70
Model agreement9 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WGO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WGO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Winnebago Industries, Inc.. Trading at $30.37 against an estimated intrinsic value of $38.98, 9 of 12 active models flag meaningful upside of +28.3% at the median. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $58.70 (+93.3%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $19.43 (-36.0%). This +129.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Winnebago Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About WGO?

12 of 13 models are currently active for WGO. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WGO is $38.98 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $31.94 on its own, implying +5.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WGO Rank in Recreational Vehicles?

Among 17 Recreational Vehicles stocks, WGO ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Recreational Vehicles space, Winnebago Industries, Inc. competes in an environment where average transaction price (ATP) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is WGO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WGO a score of 21/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Winnebago Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Winnebago Industries, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.3/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +129.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WGO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WGO's 12 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Winnebago Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Recreational Vehicles Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Recreational Vehicles stocks with 13-model coverage

BCBrunswick CorporationQOC 7.3MAMOMassimo GroupQOC 7.2MBUUMalibu Boats, Inc.QOC 7.5PIIPolaris Inc.QOC 6.8THOTHOR Industries, Inc.QOC 7.8VEEETwin Vee Powercats Co.QOC 5.5VMARVision Marine Technologies Inc.QOC 5.5EZGOEZGO Technologies Ltd.QOC 2.3LCIILCI IndustriesQOC 8.0HOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.QOC 8.8MCFTMasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.2

Read investment analysis: BC · MAMO · MBUU · PII · THO · VEEE · VMAR · EZGO · LCII · HOG · MCFT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WGO?

7 companies across all industries closest to WGO’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.QOC 7.3BMNMBimini Capital Management, Inc.QOC 7.3SIMGrupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 7.3VSECVSE CorporationQOC 7.3NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.QOC 7.3CPKChesapeake Utilities CorporationQOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AAL · BMNM · SIM · VSEC · NCLH · CPK · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Winnebago Industries, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Winnebago Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO)'s intrinsic value at $38.98 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $19.43 to $58.70. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $31.94 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WGO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $30.37, 9 of 12 active models suggest WGO may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $38.98, 28.3% above the current price of $30.37 — a consensus view that WGO is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Winnebago Industries, Inc.'s business model in Recreational Vehicles.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for WGO?

Winnebago Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WGO?

CirclFi analyzes WGO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WGO?

Of the 12 models currently active on WGO, PWERM is the most bullish at $58.70 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $19.43. CirclFi's published fair value for WGO is the median of that range, $38.98, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 101% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WGO a value trap in 2026?

Winnebago Industries, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 21/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) has a median fair value of $38.98 — 28.3% above the current price of $30.37 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WGO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WGO valuation
  • Financial statements: Winnebago Industries, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000107687) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WGO as of ; valuations recomputed .

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