TELA Bio, Inc. (TELA) Fair Value 2026

TELA · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, TELA Bio, Inc. (TELA) trades at $0.75, approximately 4247% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.02. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TELA
Price
$0.75
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +351.5% upside with 24% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.75)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.02 -97.7%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$3.39 +351.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.57 +108.6%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.83 +144.3%

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What Is TELA Bio, Inc. (TELA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for TELA Bio, Inc.. Trading at $0.75 against an estimated intrinsic value of $1.56, 9 of 11 active models flag meaningful upside of +108.3% on average. The most optimistic model, EPV, places fair value at $3.39 (+351.5%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.02 (-97.7%). This +449.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about TELA Bio, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TELA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for TELA. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TELA's intrinsic value at $0.02, implying -97.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TELA Rank in Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus?

Among 117 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks, TELA ranks #54 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus Stocks →

TELA Bio, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TELA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TELA a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for TELA Bio, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TELA Bio, Inc. scores 6.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +449.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TELA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TELA's 11 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy TELA Bio, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: DXCM · IRMD · PODD · RMD · WST

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Frequently Asked Questions About TELA Bio, Inc.

What is TELA Bio, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, TELA Bio, Inc. (TELA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.02. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TELA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.75, 9 of 11 active models suggest TELA may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits TELA Bio, Inc.'s business model in Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for TELA?

TELA Bio, Inc.'s QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TELA?

CirclFi analyzes TELA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TELA a value trap in 2026?

TELA Bio, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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