"Sprott Physical Silver Trust" (PSLV) Fair Value 2026

PSLV · Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, "Sprott Physical Silver Trust" (PSLV) trades at $18.54, approximately 124% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $8.27. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PSLV
Price
$18.54
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +14.4% upside with 34% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.54)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$8.27 -55.4%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$3.29 -82.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$12.01 -35.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$21.21 +14.4%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 8 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 12 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is "Sprott Physical Silver Trust" (PSLV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, "Sprott Physical Silver Trust"'s intrinsic value is estimated at $13.02, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $18.54. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-29.8% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +77.9% (fair value: $32.97), while EPV is the most conservative at -82.2% ($3.29). The spread between these extremes — +160.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About PSLV?

12 of 13 models are currently active for PSLV. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PSLV's intrinsic value at $8.27, implying -55.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PSLV Rank in Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers?

Among 5 Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers stocks, PSLV ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

"Sprott Physical Silver Trust" operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is PSLV a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PSLV a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for "Sprott Physical Silver Trust". Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, "Sprott Physical Silver Trust" is rated at 5.8/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +160.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PSLV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PSLV's 12 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy "Sprott Physical Silver Trust" Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: UROY · CEF · PHYS · SPPP

Frequently Asked Questions About "Sprott Physical Silver Trust"

What is "Sprott Physical Silver Trust"'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, "Sprott Physical Silver Trust" (PSLV) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $8.27. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PSLV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.54, 2 of 12 active models suggest PSLV may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits "Sprott Physical Silver Trust"'s business model in Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for PSLV?

"Sprott Physical Silver Trust"'s QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PSLV?

CirclFi analyzes PSLV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PSLV a value trap in 2026?

"Sprott Physical Silver Trust"'s Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 12 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on PSLV.

Unlock All 12 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access