Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB) Fair Value 2026

OMAB · Airports & Air Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB) trades at $102.77, versus a $134.68 median fair value across its 8 active models — 31.0% above the current price. QOC: 9.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $171.05.

Key Facts

Ticker
OMAB
Price
$102.77
Quality Score
9.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +66.4% upside with 38% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $134.68, 31.0% above the current price of $102.77. Estimates range from $50.97 to $171.05. OMAB scores 9.6/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. OMAB’s +31.0% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OMAB?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($102.77)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $171.05 +66.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $124.47 +21.1%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $144.88 +41.0%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $50.97 -50.4%
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What Is OMAB's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $50.97 to $171.05

CirclFi's 8 active models place Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB) between $50.97 and $171.05 per share, a spread of 89% of the median. The median of that range — $134.68 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for OMAB, against a current price of $102.77.

Low · EROICHigh · Bayesian DCF
$50.97median $134.68$171.05
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$50.97
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$171.05
Model agreement5 bullish · 3 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on OMAB, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $134.68, suggesting a +31.0% median upside from the current price of $102.77. While 5 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 3 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $171.05 (+66.4%), versus EROIC at $50.97 (-50.4%). This +116.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About OMAB?

8 of 13 models are currently active for OMAB. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for OMAB is $134.68 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $171.05 on its own, implying +66.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OMAB Rank in Airports & Air Services?

Among 9 Airports & Air Services stocks, OMAB ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.6 places OMAB in the top tier.

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is OMAB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OMAB a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.6/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +116.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OMAB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OMAB's 8 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Airports & Air Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Airports & Air Services stocks with 13-model coverage

ASRGrupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V.QOC 9.5PACGrupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 8.0ASLEAerSale CorporationQOC 7.4SKASSaker Aviation Services, Inc.QOC 6.5SOARVolato Group, Inc.QOC 6.5JOBYJoby Aviation, Inc.QOC 5.8UPWheels Up Experience Inc.QOC 4.7CAAPCorporación América Airports S.A.QOC 2.6

Read investment analysis: ASR · PAC · ASLE · SKAS · SOAR · JOBY · UP · CAAP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OMAB?

7 companies across all industries closest to OMAB’s Quality of Company score of 9.6/10.

CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding LtdQOC 9.6PCTYPaylocity Holding CorporationQOC 9.6PODDInsulet CorporationQOC 9.6NVMINova Ltd.QOC 9.6ZMZoom Communications, Inc.QOC 9.6DOCSDoximity, Inc.QOC 9.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CRDO · PCTY · PODD · NVMI · ZM · DOCS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.’s Valuation?

What is Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB)'s intrinsic value at $134.68 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $50.97 to $171.05. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $171.05 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OMAB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $102.77, 5 of 8 active models suggest OMAB may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $134.68, 31.0% above the current price of $102.77 — a consensus view that OMAB is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.'s business model in Airports & Air Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.6 mean for OMAB?

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.'s QOC of 9.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OMAB?

CirclFi analyzes OMAB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on OMAB?

Of the 8 models currently active on OMAB, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $171.05 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $50.97. CirclFi's published fair value for OMAB is the median of that range, $134.68, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 89% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is OMAB a value trap in 2026?

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB) has a median fair value of $134.68 — 31.0% above the current price of $102.77 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OMAB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OMAB valuation

Market data for OMAB as of ; valuations recomputed .

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