What Is Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. (NAUT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $1.66. Trading at $1.74, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -4.6%), as 4 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $3.41 (+96.0%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.57 (-67.1%). This +163.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About NAUT?
7 of 13 models are currently active for NAUT. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NAUT's intrinsic value at $0.65, implying -62.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NAUT Rank in Laboratory Analytical Instruments?
Among 19 Laboratory Analytical Instruments stocks, NAUT ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.
Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is NAUT a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NAUT a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
7 of 13 models are active for Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. scores 4.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +163.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NAUT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NAUT's 7 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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