Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I (ARCI) Fair Value 2026

ARCI · Shell Companies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I (ARCI) trades at $10.08, approximately 278% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.67. QOC: 2.1/10. 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ARCI
Price
$10.08
Quality Score
2.1/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +10.0% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.1/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I (ARCI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I (ARCI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $7.25, 28.1% below the current price of $10.08. Estimates range from $2.67 to $11.94. ARCI scores 2.1/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.08)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$2.67 -73.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$6.93 -31.2%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$11.09 +10.0%

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What Is Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I (ARCI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I at its current price of $10.08. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $7.96 (-21.1% average return), with 4 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: Sentiment SOTP targets $11.94 (+18.4%), versus Bayesian DCF at $2.67 (-73.5%). This +91.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ARCI?

7 of 13 models are currently active for ARCI. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ARCI's intrinsic value at $2.67, implying -73.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ARCI Rank in Shell Companies?

Among 20 Shell Companies stocks, ARCI ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.1 signals below-average fundamentals.

Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ARCI a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ARCI. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I's fundamental quality profile registers 2.1/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ARCI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ARCI's 7 active models, average confidence is 2%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I

What is Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I (ARCI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.67. The Quality of Company score is 2.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ARCI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.08, 2 of 7 active models suggest ARCI may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $7.25, 28.1% below the current price of $10.08 — a consensus view that ARCI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I's business model in Shell Companies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.1 mean for ARCI?

Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I's QOC of 2.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ARCI?

CirclFi analyzes ARCI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ARCI a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for ARCI at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners I (ARCI) has a median fair value of $7.25 — 28.1% below the current price of $10.08 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ARCI/ · Methodology

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