Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Fair Value 2026

APLD · Information Technology Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) trades at $27.44. QOC: 5.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
APLD
Price
$27.44
Quality Score
5.1/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give APLD?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($27.44)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $16.71 -39.1%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Applied Digital Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $16.71, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $27.44. With 1 out of 1 models flagging downside (-39.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About APLD?

1 of 13 models are currently active for APLD. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does APLD Rank in Information Technology Services?

Among 83 Information Technology Services stocks, APLD ranks #63 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.1 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Information Technology Services Stocks →

As a software business, Applied Digital Corporation operates in a sector where rule of 40 score is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating APLD should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is APLD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APLD a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Applied Digital Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Applied Digital Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 5.1/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every APLD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across APLD's 1 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Applied Digital Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Information Technology Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Information Technology Services stocks with 13-model coverage

CIFRCipher Digital Inc.QOC 5.1VDTAVertical Data, IncQOC 5.0DAICCID HoldCo, Inc.QOC 5.2SUICSUIC Worldwide Holdings Ltd.QOC 4.9TDTHTrident Digital Tech Holdings LtdQOC 5.2CHRNChronoScale Holdings CorporationQOC 4.8AIOSAIOS Tech Inc.QOC 2.4PENGPenguin Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.2GTLLGlobal Technologies, Ltd.QOC 6.4INODInnodata Inc.QOC 9.3ITGartner, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: CIFR · VDTA · DAIC · SUIC · TDTH · CHRN · AIOS · PENG · GTLL · INOD · IT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to APLD?

7 companies across all industries closest to APLD’s Quality of Company score of 5.1/10.

MCAGMountain Crest Acquisition Corp. VQOC 5.1FACTFACT II Acquisition CorpQOC 5.1NCTYThe9 LimitedQOC 5.1SLSSELLAS Life Sciences Group, Inc.QOC 5.1BRLLBarrel Energy, Inc.QOC 5.1STKESol Strategies Inc.QOC 5.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MCAG · FACT · NCTY · SLS · BRLL · STKE · NVDA

Where Does APLD Sit in CirclFi's Information Technology Services Rankings?

APLD is ranked against every other Information Technology Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Information Technology Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Applied Digital Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Applied Digital Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Applied Digital Corporation (APLD). The Quality of Company score is 5.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is APLD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $27.44, 0 of 1 active models suggest APLD may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Applied Digital Corporation's business model in Information Technology Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.1 mean for APLD?

Applied Digital Corporation's QOC of 5.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on APLD?

CirclFi analyzes APLD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is APLD a value trap in 2026?

Applied Digital Corporation's Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) a Quality of Company score of 5.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/APLD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this APLD valuation
  • Financial statements: Applied Digital Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001144879) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for APLD as of ; valuations recomputed .