What Is Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Applied Digital Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $6.76, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $28.84. With 7 out of 8 models flagging downside (-76.6% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +5.7% (fair value: $30.47), while FTNN is the most conservative at -98.2% ($0.51). The spread between these extremes — +103.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About APLD?
8 of 13 models are currently active for APLD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates APLD's intrinsic value at $8.65, implying -70.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does APLD Rank in Information Technology Services?
Among 4 Information Technology Services stocks, APLD ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.
As a software business, Applied Digital Corporation operates in a sector where rule of 40 score is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating APLD should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is APLD a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APLD a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
8 of 13 models are active for Applied Digital Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Applied Digital Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 4.2/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +103.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every APLD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across APLD's 8 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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