VRCA vs VTVT

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. vs vTv Therapeutics Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — VTVT scores higher on quality with 6.0/10 vs VRCA's 5.4/10. VRCA trades at $5.79 while VTVT trades at $33.00. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

VRCA

Biotechnology
Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Quality
5.4
out of 10
Value Trap
30
LOW
Price
$5.79
Last close
Models
8/13
Active
VS

VTVT

Biotechnology
vTv Therapeutics Inc.
Quality
6.0
out of 10
Value Trap
47
WARN
Price
$33.00
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VRCA
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
VTVT
Bayesian DCF sees +4.5% upside
Value Trap 47/100 — caution

VRCA vs VTVT — Fair Value Comparison

VRCA
$0$2$5$7 Price$5.79 Bayesian …$1.40 (-75.8%) First Chi…$1.21 (-79.1%)
VTVT
$0$14$27$41 Price$33.00 Bayesian …$34.48 (+4.5%) Earnings …$30.66 (-7.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType VRCA Fair ValueVRCA Upside VTVT Fair ValueVTVT Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $1.40 -75.8% $34.48 +4.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $30.66 -7.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $1.21 -79.1% $32.45 -1.7%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

VRCA vs VTVT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

VTVT scores higher with a 6.0/10 quality rating vs VRCA's 5.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do VRCA and VTVT Valuations Compare?

At $5.79, VRCA trades +75.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.40, while VTVT at $33.00 trades +4.5% below its estimate of $34.48. VRCA shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: VRCA vs VTVT

VRCA earns a Quality of Company score of 5.4/10 compared to VTVT's 6.0/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: VRCA vs VTVT

VRCA carries a LOW value trap risk (30/100) while VTVT shows WARN risk (47/100). Stocks with value trap scores above 40 may appear undervalued but face deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue can make the apparent discount a trap.

Both in Biotechnology

Both VRCA and VTVT operate in Biotechnology, which has 566 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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